Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.000735 0.000841 0.000953 0.001080 0.001220 0.001369 0.001539
2025-01-05 0.000570 0.000715 0.000881 0.001081 0.001315 0.001579 0.001897
2025-01-12 0.000474 0.000635 0.000826 0.001067 0.001360 0.001702 0.002126
2025-01-19 0.000397 0.000565 0.000773 0.001046 0.001390 0.001802 0.002327
2025-01-26 0.000356 0.000533 0.000761 0.001069 0.001467 0.001955 0.002592
2025-02-02 0.000321 0.000504 0.000748 0.001087 0.001535 0.002098 0.002846
2025-02-09 0.000279 0.000460 0.000711 0.001069 0.001554 0.002176 0.003017
2025-02-16 0.000242 0.000420 0.000674 0.001047 0.001565 0.002241 0.003171
2025-02-23 0.000221 0.000400 0.000663 0.001059 0.001620 0.002364 0.003401
2025-03-02 0.000201 0.000380 0.000650 0.001066 0.001666 0.002475 0.003617
2025-03-09 0.000174 0.000346 0.000614 0.001037 0.001660 0.002513 0.003736
2025-03-16 0.000151 0.000315 0.000579 0.001007 0.001651 0.002546 0.003845
2025-03-23 0.000135 0.000296 0.000563 0.001004 0.001680 0.002634 0.004035
2025-03-30 0.000122 0.000279 0.000548 0.001003 0.001712 0.002726 0.004233
2025-04-06 0.000108 0.000259 0.000527 0.000991 0.001725 0.002791 0.004393
2025-04-13 0.000094 0.000239 0.000503 0.000971 0.001726 0.002837 0.004526
2025-04-20 0.000088 0.000233 0.000504 0.000992 0.001790 0.002977 0.004795
2025-04-27 0.000082 0.000227 0.000502 0.001009 0.001848 0.003107 0.005053
2025-05-04 0.000073 0.000210 0.000482 0.000992 0.001850 0.003156 0.005192
2025-05-11 0.000063 0.000194 0.000460 0.000972 0.001847 0.003193 0.005316
2025-05-18 0.000059 0.000188 0.000457 0.000983 0.001895 0.003311 0.005559
2025-05-25 0.000054 0.000180 0.000451 0.000990 0.001934 0.003416 0.005785
2025-06-01 0.000046 0.000165 0.000428 0.000962 0.001916 0.003430 0.005873